Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 2.798789e-02 0.033400 0.039050 0.045350 0.052140 0.059202 0.067071
2026-01-25 1.977491e-02 0.027327 0.035754 0.045666 0.056838 0.068900 0.082778
2026-02-01 1.429595e-02 0.022877 0.033065 0.045600 0.060231 0.076461 0.095549
2026-02-08 9.490384e-03 0.018155 0.029193 0.043413 0.060568 0.080066 0.103437
2026-02-15 6.579516e-03 0.015196 0.026954 0.042726 0.062277 0.084924 0.112460
2026-02-22 4.849329e-03 0.013481 0.026017 0.043405 0.065421 0.091290 0.123073
2026-03-01 3.555127e-03 0.012098 0.025309 0.044204 0.068577 0.097567 0.133496
2026-03-08 2.724766e-03 0.011274 0.025249 0.045751 0.072584 0.104799 0.144989
2026-03-15 1.914555e-03 0.010207 0.024686 0.046517 0.075532 0.110701 0.154868
2026-03-22 1.790448e-03 0.010583 0.026322 0.050285 0.082305 0.121241 0.170250
2026-03-29 9.682818e-04 0.008916 0.024560 0.049223 0.082786 0.124051 0.176383
2026-04-05 5.816807e-04 0.008120 0.024103 0.049925 0.085502 0.129563 0.185715
2026-04-12 2.484615e-04 0.007132 0.023276 0.050149 0.087719 0.134641 0.194772
2026-04-19 6.891087e-05 0.006325 0.022668 0.050657 0.090308 0.140202 0.204457
2026-04-26 1.826585e-07 0.005430 0.021752 0.050623 0.092121 0.144762 0.212909
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003998 0.019467 0.048319 0.090733 0.145193 0.216244
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003178 0.018262 0.047594 0.091437 0.148226 0.222722
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002793 0.017977 0.048313 0.094125 0.153778 0.232291
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002474 0.017788 0.049157 0.096971 0.159524 0.242092
2026-05-31 NaN 0.002344 0.018075 0.050790 0.100928 0.166704 0.253670
2026-06-07 NaN 0.002067 0.017889 0.051599 0.103700 0.172341 0.263331
2026-06-14 NaN 0.002406 0.019540 0.055572 0.111007 0.183876 0.280336
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001798 0.018258 0.054452 0.110998 0.185887 0.285477